Very nice statistical analysis of coaches at Yet Another Basketball Blog


#1

You can find it here, in which the tempo-free stats for the high-major DI coaches are compared for up to the past 7 years (the length for which the stats are available). Key points:

[ul][li]PSU is #68 out of 72 in BOTH offensive AND defensive efficiency. Granted, this includes the first few rebuilding years, but that still is a very painful pair of numbers.[/li]
[li]Breaking down the offense, PSU is in the bottom half for all “Four Factors” (effective FG percentage, TO%, offensive rebounding percentage, and free throw frequency (free throw attempts divided by FG attempts). In a nutshell, PSU shoots poorly and doesn’t get to the FT line much, but their offensive rebounding (still barely average) keeps things from being even worse than they are. They also don’t take care of the ball particularly well, but it’s not as damaging as the shooting issues[/li]
[li]Breaking down the defense (same “Four Factors”), PSU doesn’t contest shots very well and doesn’t force many turnovers (near dead last in both categories). PSU’s very good defensive rebounding (18th) helps somewhat to stanch the bleeding by denying opponents second chances on their (relatively few) misses, and they give their opponents fewer FT opportunities than average.[/li][/ul]

It’s the same thing we’ve been seeing on the court for years, but it helps to see how what we’re seeing on the court compares to what other people are seeing on their courts. Or maybe “helps” isn’t the best term for it :frowning:


#2

Thanks for this. Not surprised to see Bobby Gonzalez towards the bottom as well.


#3

[quote=“BobK, post:1, topic:764”]You can find it here, in which the tempo-free stats for the high-major DI coaches are compared for up to the past 7 years (the length for which the stats are available). Key points:

[ul][li]PSU is #68 out of 72 in BOTH offensive AND defensive efficiency. Granted, this includes the first few rebuilding years, but that still is a very painful pair of numbers.[/li]
[li]Breaking down the offense, PSU is in the bottom half for all “Four Factors” (effective FG percentage, TO%, offensive rebounding percentage, and free throw frequency (free throw attempts divided by FG attempts). In a nutshell, PSU shoots poorly and doesn’t get to the FT line much, but their offensive rebounding (still barely average) keeps things from being even worse than they are. They also don’t take care of the ball particularly well, but it’s not as damaging as the shooting issues[/li]
[li]Breaking down the defense (same “Four Factors”), PSU doesn’t contest shots very well and doesn’t force many turnovers (near dead last in both categories). PSU’s very good defensive rebounding (18th) helps somewhat to stanch the bleeding by denying opponents second chances on their (relatively few) misses, and they give their opponents fewer FT opportunities than average.[/li][/ul]

It’s the same thing we’ve been seeing on the court for years, but it helps to see how what we’re seeing on the court compares to what other people are seeing on their courts. Or maybe “helps” isn’t the best term for it :([/quote]

Your observation that the first few years drags down the numbers somewhat is correct. Here’s what they look like plotted out year by year.

Efficiency:

2003-04: 91.0
2004-05: 95.9
2005-06: 103.9
2006-07: 102.1
2007-08: 101.8
2008-09: 106.9
2009-10: 104.2 (2nd best of Ed’s teams)

Effective FG%:

2003-04: 44.6%
2004-05: 46.5%
2005-06: 49.5%
2006-07: 50.2%
2007-08: 48.3%
2008-09: 51.2%
2009-10: 49.1% (4th best of ED’s teams)

Effective FG% Defense

2003-04: 50.1%
2004-05: 52.0%
2005-06: 53.3%
2006-07: 53.1%
2007-08: 51.8%
2008-09: 49.2%
2009-10: 49.4% (2nd best of ED’s teams)

TO Percent:

2003-04: 24.6%
2004-05: 24.0%
2005-06: 19.4%
2006-07: 22.1%
2007-08: 19.7%
2008-09: 17.3%
2009-10: 18.2% (2nd best of ED’s teams)

TO Percent Defense:

2003-04: 17.8%
2004-05: 18.4%
2005-06: 21.5%
2006-07: 19.8%
2007-08: 19.7%
2008-09: 18.4%
2009-10: 17.0% (the worst of ED’s teams)

Offensive Rebound %

2003-04: 37.4%
2004-05: 37.3%
2005-06: 35.1%
2006-07: 35.2%
2007-08: 32.0%
2008-09: 30.6%
2009-10: 32.0% (tied for next to last - but curiously, the worst team was last year)

Defensive Rebound %

2003-04: 67.6%
2004-05: 66.9%
2005-06: 66.4%
2006-07: 68.1%
2007-08: 67.3%
2008-09: 71.9%
2009-10: 75.3% (the best of ED’s teams - we are monsters on the defensive glass)

Free Throw Rate

2003-04: 32.8%
2004-05: 39.7%
2005-06: 33.2%
2006-07: 35.8%
2007-08: 32.1%
2008-09: 33.9%
2009-10: 33.1% (fifth best of ED’s teams)

Free Throw Rate Defense

2003-04: 25.7%
2004-05: 24.4%
2005-06: 24.3%
2006-07: 31.7%
2007-08: 29.0%
2008-09: 23.1%
2009-10: 25.6% (fourth best of ED’s teams)

The funny thing is that the numbers suggest that this should probably be ED’s second best team but the record sure doesn’t support that.