Okay, here’s the format: I have each team listed in a projected B10 finish (regular season, not tournament). I listed each player the school has lost (graduate, transfer, or NBA draft), percent of scoring the school is losing, signed recruits plus their ESPN grade for the 2010 class, and a +/- number on how many spots the team can realistically fluctuate.
-Recruits and their grade is as of today, May 9th per ESPN.
-Draft status is based on Rival’s list: http://collegebasketball.rivals.com/content.asp?CID=1069126
-Transfers are based on Goodman’s first transfer list: http://community.foxsports.com/goodmanonfox/blog/2010/04/14/first_edition_of_end-of-year_transfer_list
I tried to rank the teams mostly off of numbers and less personal feelings; however I did take into account injuries (Hummel, Coble), Senior classes (PSU), new coaching, etc.
Big 10 Preview-
92, 92, 91, 90
95, 95, 94, 90
98, 96, 94, 94, 92, 91
95, 95, 94
93, 90, 89, 89
92, 89, 87, 87
94, 93, 88
89, 89, 87
Summary: Purdue will return Hummel, Johnson and Moore. Arguable one of the best 3 headed monsters in the country. Purdue will be ranked Top 5 pre-season. MSU and OSU have outside shots at taking the #1 spot in the B10, but its unlikely. OSU loses Turner but they have a stellar recruiting class. They can finish 2nd or drop to 4th. Michigan State really only loses Morgan from a Final 4 team. They will finish 2nd or 3rd.
Illinois and Wisconsin are fighting for 4th and 5th. Illinois loses virtually nothing, while a better Wisconsin team loses Hughes and Bohannon. Illinois will likely finish ahead of Wisconsin.
Northwestern, Penn State and Minnesota are fighting for the next three spots. Northwestern and Penn State will fight for the 6th and 7th spots. Northwestern returns most of the team plus Coble. Penn State lost 2 players to transfer but has a heavy senior class. Minnesota lost almost half of their scoring, they will probably finish 7th or 8th.
Indiana, Michigan and Iowa will shape up the bottom of the B10. Michigan loses a lot of talent from a mediocre-at-best 2009-10 squad. Iowa has a new coach in McCaffrey. Indiana looks the be the most stable of these three teams. I don’t think Iowa has enough talent this season to fight its way out of the basement. Indiana is a tough team that will probably finish ahead of these other two cellar dwellers.
If I missed any players that aren’t actually leaving (Coble was listed as a Senior on ESPN but he got a medical year) or missed a player or two that is leaving, please let me know. But for the most part, the scoring % numbers are pretty accurate (within a percentage point or two).