Here are the games I’m keeping my eye on today (with team we want to win in BOLD)…
12:00 - UConn @ Cincinnati - It’s probably a stretch for Cincy to miss out on the dance at this point, but losing out and also losing their first game at MSG might do the trick. They have games @Marquette and home vs. Georgetown after this to close out the season, so there certainly is a chance of a 3 game skid heading to the Big East tourney.
1:00 - Purdue @ Michigan State - Give Michigan State another loss in the Big Ten standings, and also hurt their tourney chances a bit. A loss also has the added benefit of moving us back into a tie for 4th in the Big Ten.
1:00 - Xavier @ Dayton - Dayton is the last team in Palm’s latest bracket. They only have one top 50 win on their resume, and this is their last chance for one before the A10 tourney. It will also give them a 7th A-10 loss (not too good in the #9 ranked conference).
2:00 - Albany @ Maine - A win keeps Maine’s RPI above 200, and also gives them the #3 seed in the America East tourney (downside is that they’d most likely open the tourney with a road game against the host, Hartford). I just don’t want this loss looking any worse.
3:30 - Fairfield @ Iona - Fairfield has already wrapped up the #1 seed in the MAAC tourney (and gets the tourney at home). However it’s pretty clear now that they will be our top RPI non-conference win, so we need all the help that we can get from them. They are a 6.5 point underdog today, but a win here would be the difference between an RPI of 76 and an RPI of 88-89 (according to RPIForecast).
4:00 - Indiana @ Ohio State - OSU winning will give us a little RPI help in the end. But more importantly, I want them to look convincing today and impress the pollsters so that they move back up to #1 for Tuesday night’s showdown.
4:00 - Providence @ Marquette - Marquette picked up a big win this week and is looking pretty good right now, but a loss to Providence would really hurt them. They don’t have a bad loss on their resume, but a home loss to a squad with a current RPI of 145 would certainly be a wart for the committee to see.
7:45 - Maryland @ North Carolina - A Maryland win would help our RPI, however it would also bring them much closer to the bubble. North Carolina is a lock, so I think it’s worth the small RPI hit to keep Maryland further out of it.
10:00pm - Washington State @ Washington - Washington is a 10 seed in Palm’s latest bracket, and another home loss here could push them very close to the bubble. The negative aspect of a Cougar win is that they creep back towards the bubble, however I think they’re far enough out right now that I’ll be pulling for them.