Stat


#1

I looked at RPIforecast and averaged the final predicted RPI of the teams that each B10 team has beaten:

135.86 Wisconsin (135 = Duquesne)
147.54 Purdue (147 = Boston U)
164.40 Michigan State (164= Davidson {ironic})
167.67 Illinois (167 = Arkansas)
173.67 Michigan (173 = Auburn)
176.22 Ohio State (176 = Rider)
181.84 Minnesota (181 = Penn State)
187.77 Northwestern (187 = Bowling Green)
222.38 Indiana (222 = Sacred Heart)
236.00 Iowa (236 = Tulane {ironic})
239.38 Penn State (239 = Columbia)

I did figure it out for Duke whom is currently projected to end up #1 in RPI. (100.87) I think this speaks volumes for Wisconsin. I have had the feeling that they were the B10’s top team for a few weeks now. I stand by it.

This does tend to lead back to poor OOC scheduling. Im not sure this problem will ever be fully remedied. ???


#2

[quote=“mhenry41, post:1, topic:703”] I looked at RPIforecast and averaged the final predicted RPI of the teams that each B10 team has beaten:

135.86 Wisconsin (135 = Duquesne)
147.54 Purdue (147 = Boston U)
164.40 Michigan State (164= Davidson {ironic})
167.67 Illinois (167 = Arkansas)
173.67 Michigan (173 = Auburn)
176.22 Ohio State (176 = Rider)
181.84 Minnesota (181 = Penn State)
187.77 Northwestern (187 = Bowling Green)
222.38 Indiana (222 = Sacred Heart)
236.00 Iowa (236 = Tulane {ironic})
239.38 Penn State (239 = Columbia)

I did figure it out for Duke whom is currently projected to end up #1 in RPI. (100.87) I think this speaks volumes for Wisconsin. I have had the feeling that they were the B10’s top team for a few weeks now. I stand by it.

This does tend to lead back to poor OOC scheduling. Im not sure this problem will ever be fully remedied. ???[/quote]

The OOC schedule turned out to be worse than expected this year, but I gotta believe a lot of that figure comes from PSU not winning many of the games it has played against good teams.


#3

I’m going to have to agree with you. I don’t know what it is but something tells me that if we had beaten teams with higher RPIs, that the the average RPI of the teams we had beaten would be higher. Its just a hunch. This is all a little above me so maybe Lar can run those numbers.


#4

[quote=“mhenry41, post:1, topic:703”] I looked at RPIforecast and averaged the final predicted RPI of the teams that each B10 team has beaten:

135.86 Wisconsin (135 = Duquesne)
147.54 Purdue (147 = Boston U)
164.40 Michigan State (164= Davidson {ironic})
167.67 Illinois (167 = Arkansas)
173.67 Michigan (173 = Auburn)
176.22 Ohio State (176 = Rider)
181.84 Minnesota (181 = Penn State)
187.77 Northwestern (187 = Bowling Green)
222.38 Indiana (222 = Sacred Heart)
236.00 Iowa (236 = Tulane {ironic})
239.38 Penn State (239 = Columbia)

I did figure it out for Duke whom is currently projected to end up #1 in RPI. (100.87) I think this speaks volumes for Wisconsin. I have had the feeling that they were the B10’s top team for a few weeks now. I stand by it.

This does tend to lead back to poor OOC scheduling. Im not sure this problem will ever be fully remedied. ???[/quote]

To make any comment about the scheduling, you need to include all opponents in the analysis – not just the teams we beat. Include all OOC teams and recalculate. That will tell you more about scheduling.


#5
[quote="mhenry41, post:1, topic:703"]I looked at RPIforecast and averaged the final predicted RPI of the teams that each B10 team has beaten:

135.86 Wisconsin (135 = Duquesne)
147.54 Purdue (147 = Boston U)
164.40 Michigan State (164= Davidson {ironic})
167.67 Illinois (167 = Arkansas)
173.67 Michigan (173 = Auburn)
176.22 Ohio State (176 = Rider)
181.84 Minnesota (181 = Penn State)
187.77 Northwestern (187 = Bowling Green)
222.38 Indiana (222 = Sacred Heart)
236.00 Iowa (236 = Tulane {ironic})
239.38 Penn State (239 = Columbia)

I did figure it out for Duke whom is currently projected to end up #1 in RPI. (100.87) I think this speaks volumes for Wisconsin. I have had the feeling that they were the B10’s top team for a few weeks now. I stand by it.

This does tend to lead back to poor OOC scheduling. Im not sure this problem will ever be fully remedied. ???[/quote]

To make any comment about the scheduling, you need to include all opponents in the analysis – not just the teams we beat. Include all OOC teams and recalculate. That will tell you more about scheduling.

The figures that I looked up werent for the sole purpose of condeming the OOC. It was just a thought that crossed my mind after looking at the data. And sure the numbers are higher if we beat more teams :-\ This was also not the purpose of the data. I was really doing it to see how PSU compared vs IU, IA, UM, and NW. I honestly wasnt planning on seeing PSU end up last on the list.


#6
[quote="mhenry41, post:1, topic:703"]I looked at RPIforecast and averaged the final predicted RPI of the teams that each B10 team has beaten:

135.86 Wisconsin (135 = Duquesne)
147.54 Purdue (147 = Boston U)
164.40 Michigan State (164= Davidson {ironic})
167.67 Illinois (167 = Arkansas)
173.67 Michigan (173 = Auburn)
176.22 Ohio State (176 = Rider)
181.84 Minnesota (181 = Penn State)
187.77 Northwestern (187 = Bowling Green)
222.38 Indiana (222 = Sacred Heart)
236.00 Iowa (236 = Tulane {ironic})
239.38 Penn State (239 = Columbia)

I did figure it out for Duke whom is currently projected to end up #1 in RPI. (100.87) I think this speaks volumes for Wisconsin. I have had the feeling that they were the B10’s top team for a few weeks now. I stand by it.

This does tend to lead back to poor OOC scheduling. Im not sure this problem will ever be fully remedied. ???[/quote]

To make any comment about the scheduling, you need to include all opponents in the analysis – not just the teams we beat. Include all OOC teams and recalculate. That will tell you more about scheduling.

The figures that I looked up werent for the sole purpose of condeming the OOC. It was just a thought that crossed my mind after looking at the data. And sure the numbers are higher if we beat more teams :-\ This was also not the purpose of the data. I was really doing it to see how PSU compared vs IU, IA, UM, and NW. I honestly wasnt planning on seeing PSU end up last on the list.

Why would it be a surprise that a team that is not very good will have mostly beaten other teams that also are not very good?


#7
[quote="mhenry41, post:1, topic:703"]I looked at RPIforecast and averaged the final predicted RPI of the teams that each B10 team has beaten:

135.86 Wisconsin (135 = Duquesne)
147.54 Purdue (147 = Boston U)
164.40 Michigan State (164= Davidson {ironic})
167.67 Illinois (167 = Arkansas)
173.67 Michigan (173 = Auburn)
176.22 Ohio State (176 = Rider)
181.84 Minnesota (181 = Penn State)
187.77 Northwestern (187 = Bowling Green)
222.38 Indiana (222 = Sacred Heart)
236.00 Iowa (236 = Tulane {ironic})
239.38 Penn State (239 = Columbia)

I did figure it out for Duke whom is currently projected to end up #1 in RPI. (100.87) I think this speaks volumes for Wisconsin. I have had the feeling that they were the B10’s top team for a few weeks now. I stand by it.

This does tend to lead back to poor OOC scheduling. Im not sure this problem will ever be fully remedied. ???[/quote]

To make any comment about the scheduling, you need to include all opponents in the analysis – not just the teams we beat. Include all OOC teams and recalculate. That will tell you more about scheduling.

The figures that I looked up werent for the sole purpose of condeming the OOC. It was just a thought that crossed my mind after looking at the data. And sure the numbers are higher if we beat more teams :-\ This was also not the purpose of the data. I was really doing it to see how PSU compared vs IU, IA, UM, and NW. I honestly wasnt planning on seeing PSU end up last on the list.

Why would it be a surprise that a team that is not very good will have mostly beaten other teams that also are not very good?

Phoenix, nobody on the planet would have expected PSU’s number to be “good.” I wanted to campare PSU’s wins vs the aformentioned teams, specifically Ia, Ind, Mich, and NW. I expected PSU to fall in the middle. To my surprise, Indiana and Iowa, on average, have beaten better teams this year. This should come as a surprise to most.


#8

To me, the most surprising stat on the season is our current Pomeroy Rating. We’re 102nd in the country. To put it in perspective, if we finished 102nd, it would be the second best season in Ed’s tenure (using this rating). We were 108th in 2008 (when we went 7-11 in the Big Ten and were hoping for a CBI invite) and 117th in 2006 when we made the NIT. Last season, we were 58th. Back in the first two years of Ed’s tenure, we were 210th and 180th.

These numbers kinda go along with my feelings right now, which are that even though we’re losing games, we’re not nearly as bad of a team as we were several years ago. Bringing back everyone next season along with Buie/Marshall shows that maybe there is a little bit of hope out there after all.