[quote=“timauman, post:18, topic:2498”]I’m not saying that the rankings are a complete crock or that they don’t put legitimate effort and evaluation into them. However, given the number of kids that are evaluated and ranked, it’s impossible to do a decent job with anyone outside of the cream of the crop. Everyone knows who the top players are, but in my opinion, once you start looking outside of the top 100 overall or top 30 at each position, they begin to be crap shoots. There’s too much inconsistency in level of competion in high school to judge stats. I’m sure that both 'melle & McKenna put up big numbers in high school. Also, with high school there are limited opportunities to see more than one game in a night. Even with the traveling AAU squads and big time invites, the recruitniks are going to focus on the big fish because that’s what their subscribers are paying to read about. When you consider how guard centric and street ball the AAU game is, it’s almost impossible to evaluate defense, teamwork, etc.
The recrutniks have to rely on reactionary evaluation. When a player gets bumped up or down after they commit to a school, it’s not because they watched more film. If a two star signs with an ACC school, he must be better than they thought. If a four star signs with the CAA, he must have been overrated.
Here’s an example. Colin Klebon from Southeren Columbia in Catawissa, Pa is now at Bucknell. He was on Penn State’s radar, was up at a few games, don’t know hf he was ever here on an official visit. If you were to dig up his ratings, he’d probably average out to be a 2 star, maybe 130 among forwards. I’d be willing to bet that if we had given him a scholly, he would have become a consensus 3 star and about 85 among forwards. I saw him play six high school games, which was probably five more than any recruitnik saw. Even if his AAU team from Altoona was at a big invite, everyone would be too busy watching the top players for the umpteenth time to bother watching him.
I tend to put more weight looking at which schools are recruiting or offered a player or where a player visits. Of course, finding reliable info on that is problematic as well. I received letters and spoke on the phone with coaches from Syracuse, Maryland & GATech when I was a high school football player. Does this mean that I was really being recruited by the ACC & BigEast? I say no. I was visited by and visited schools from the Ivies, CAA and Patriot. Actually, the Patriot was still the Colonial League at the time. Big difference.
I can’t even begin to comprehend how they rank football players. There’s only around ten games each year, most played on Friday night or Saturday afternoon. Most high school game film is single camera, meaning it follows the ball. Most of the game happens where the ball is not.[/quote]
Football players are much simpler, it has a lot more to do with a measuring tape and stop watch. The OLB that is 200 lbs and runs a 4.5 is much higher rated than the one who is 170 and runs a 4.8. Film really doesn’t matter in that instance, outside of differenciating between a par of 200 lb 4.5 OLBs.