Trying to figure out how we get to 10 wins in this conference and I’m not liking what I see. It was obviously a long shot from the start, but there is just no room for error in this thing. We need to go 7-4 the rest of the way to get there. Not a crazy number, but it means we have to beat all the middle teams and steal another from a top team.
If we assume with kenpom that we take the 4 home games he has us winning, we need to find 3 other wins that he has us losing. I can’t find a road game I like our chances in until @ Northwestern and then the finale @ Minnesota. Assuming we took both of those, which would be tremendous, that gets us to 9 wins with the 4 home wins I spoke of.
So we need to steal a road game somewhere - against OSU, Purdue, Illini, MSU, or Wisconsin. I guess you have to think MSU and Illinois are the most ripe for the taking, given that we have won in both places in recent history. However, I don’t think either is going to be taking us very lightly after rushing the court on them this past week so those games are going to be even tougher than they would normally be imo.
The other three are no easier, I’m not sure we have ever won a game in any of their buildings that I can remember. Don’t mean to be bringing the mood down around here, just curious where you think we may have an edge to pick up win #10 and have a legitimate shot at dancing?