Three B10 teams are “locks” (MSU, Purdue, and Wisky), 1 “should be in” (OSU), and 3 more “have work left to do” (NU, Minne, Illinois).
It has Penn State as, by far, Virginia’s worst lost when it comes to RPIs - we are 227, Stanford is the next highest at 139.
The BE has 5 “locks,” and another 5 teams with work left to do.
The ACC has only 1 “lock” (Duke), but has 1 team that “should be in,” and 7 teams still with work left to do.
The PAC10 has 0 locks, 0 teams that should be in, and only 2 teams still with work left to do. Lucky for them at least one team is guaranteed a bid out of their conference… jeeze.
The B12 has 3 locks and 5 teams still with work left to do
The SEC has 1 lock, 2 teams that should be in, and 4 teams still with work left to do.
Penn State has defeated 2 teams that have some work left to do to get in - William & Mary, and Virginia
So, let’s pretend that all the teams listed for each of these major conferences make the dance and no other teams from these conferences make it. That makes the total bids per major conference look like this:
Big East: 10
Pac 10: 2