Agree. The Top 3 locked the door and threw away the key next season, don’t expect any other teams to sneak into that tier. Illinois, Wisconsin and either Minnesota / Northwestern will be the next tier. The lower end of this tier is a bubble team in a 65 team tournament (Minnesota/NW). The next group of teams is Penn State, Michigan, Iowa and Indiana. I’d rank them in this order: Penn State, Indiana, Michigan, Iowa.
I’m sure many people will be optimistic for PSU to hurdle Indiana, Michigan and Iowa next season, but remember this: PSU will be without Babb, Ott and Edwards next season. They replace these 3 players with Buie and Bowman. Factor in the close games, and PSU is possibly slightly better than last season. Right around 4-5 wins, 6 max.
A lot will hang on Buie, Woodyard and Bowman’s ability to replace Babb.