[quote="frats, post:2, topic:2013"]I think there was very little chance that we would have made the NCAAs. The performace at the Old Spice Classic was awful, and we would have needed a huge performance in the Big Ten to erase those losses. I do think that a healthy Geary would have meant another NIT bid.[/quote]
Not so fast my friend. Keep in mind Talor couldn’t buy a basket at Old Spice, but certainly found his good stuff against Seton Hall, VT, etc.
Also, keep in mind we won @ Illinois, @ NW, lost very close @ Minny to start the Big 11 schedule. It was the first home game back after Winter Break, I remember cause I was there, where there was a good student turnout against Wisconsin, and the play where GC got hurt happened RIGHT in front of me. I turned to my roommate and said, ‘there goes the season’.
It’s interesting to note that it took the team a few games to change the rhythm of the offense; with Geary, it was a bit slower, with him out, it sped up a bit and was more Talor/Stanley focused.
Before Geary got hurt, we had losses to four teams with an RPI worse than 100, and not a single win over a top-50 team. We ended up 15-16, 7-11, lost in the first round in Chicago, and had an RPI of 157.
I just ran the numbers seeing what would have happened had we won 4 more games in the Big Ten (2 home and 2 away). That would have given us an RPI of 89th. This means that at 11-7, we still wouldn’t have been even close to the bubble.
Geary was a great player, however I don’t think he was giving us the 5-6 more wins that we would have needed to get into the conversation on Selection Sunday. We would have been about 59th in the RPI had we done 13-5 in the Big Ten, and I’m guessing that we would have had to do just about that to get in.